– Meteorologists have predicted that the El Niño phenomenon, triggered by rising temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean, will begin to have a global impact after February next year, with increased rainfall patterns expected in several regions.However, climate officials say the likelihood of Sri Lanka experiencing severe adverse effects remains low.Mr. Leel Randeniya, Director of the Climate Change Secretariat of the Ministry of Environment, said Sri Lanka is currently under the influence of the southwest monsoon, which will continue until September. He noted that while occasional heavy rain showers may occur in July and August, overall monsoon rainfall is expected to gradually decrease. He added that during the inter-monsoon period in October and November, the country usually receives around 30 percent of its annual rainfall.

According to Mr. Randeniya, Sri Lanka’s location in an oceanic climate zone plays a key role in shaping its weather patterns. He explained that variations in sea surface temperatures in the western Indian Ocean, combined with the country’s central highlands, significantly influence rainfall distribution. He further said that although El Niño conditions can disrupt global weather systems, Sri Lanka’s island geography and constant atmospheric moisture supply reduce the risk of severe long-term impacts.

Meteorologists have indicated that if El Niño develops, it is likely to emerge after February next year and may coincide with the northeast monsoon period. Officials have urged the public to remain prepared, particularly regarding food security and water resource management. Mr. Randeniya advised people to use water sparingly and to approach the situation with planning rather than panic, emphasizing that the country can manage the situation effectively with proper preparation.