China saw it. India saw it. The world is moving in. Sri Lanka cannot afford to arrive late

Africa is rapidly shedding its outdated image of instability to emerge as the world’s next economic powerhouse. Driven by a young, expanding workforce, vast natural wealth, and a firm resolve to shift from raw material exporter to industrial manufacturer, the continent presents unprecedented opportunities. Global giants like China and India recognized this trajectory early and built deep roots. For Sri Lankan businesses—already tested by pioneering conglomerates in apparel, finance, and renewable energy—the imperative is clear: capitalize on market access initiatives like AGOA and enter Africa while foundational partnerships are still being formed.
The race for the world’s next great economic frontier has already begun. For decades, Africa was viewed largely through the prism of poverty, conflict, disease and political instability. That narrative is rapidly becoming outdated.A different Africa is emerging younger, more ambitious, increasingly connected and determined to convert its enormous natural and human wealth into economic power.Africa is no longer standing at the margins of the global economy. It is positioning itself to become one of its major growth engines.
By 2050, Africa’s population is projected to reach around 2.5 billion, more than one in every four people on the planet. Its opportunity must also be understood in terms of sheer physical scale. At roughly 30 million square kilometers, Africa is larger than China, India and Japan combined.These are not merely statistics. They represent an enormous future consumer market, workforce and investment opportunity. Africa possesses much of what the future global economy needs: people, markets, minerals, agricultural land, renewable-energy potential and a young population hungry for opportunity.For generations, Africa exported its minerals, oil and agricultural wealth while much of the real value was created elsewhere. Gold, diamonds, copper, cobalt, lithium, manganese, iron ore, bauxite, oil and gas have powered industries around the world.Africa supplied the resources. Others processed them, manufactured the finished products and captured much of the profit. This economic model is now being challenged. Across the continent, governments increasingly understand that sustainable prosperity cannot be built by remaining merely suppliers of raw materials.
The new thinking is simple. Mine in Africa. Process in Africa. Manufacture in Africa. Create jobs in Africa.Nigeria is already demonstrating the scale of Africa’s industrial ambition through the Africa’s Richest person Aliko Dangote’s 650,000-barrel-per-day refinery and his massive fertilizer complex, which currently producing around 3 million tones of urea annually. Even more significantly, Dangote is moving to triple fertilizer capacity in Nigeria to 9 million tones a year, positioning Africa not merely to meet more of its own agricultural needs, but to become an increasingly important supplier to global fertilizer markets.
Dangote is also taking that industrial vision to East Africa, with a proposed 700,000-barrel-per-day refinery in Kenya, a project that could significantly reduce the region’s dependence on imported petroleum products.Uganda is preparing to become another significant African oil producer. Its newly named last week “Pearl Sweet” crude is expected to reach peak production of approximately 230,000 barrels per day from the Tilenga and Kingfisher fields.The same shift is visible elsewhere. Ghana wants more cocoa processed at home; Zimbabwe is restricting raw mineral exports; Uganda is pushing domestic value addition; and countries from the DRC and Zambia to Mali, Tanzania, Burkina Faso and Niger are demanding a greater share of the wealth generated from their resources.
CHINA SAW IT EARLY
Perhaps no major power recognized Africa’s long-term economic potential earlier or pursued it more aggressively than China.Chinese engagement today extends far beyond mining. Chinese companies are involved in roads, railways, ports, airports, telecommunications, manufacturing, energy, agriculture, logistics, technology, industrial parks and finance.China did not wait for Africa to become prosperous before investing. It invested because it believed Africa would become prosperous. That distinction matters.While others saw risk, China saw scale. While others saw poverty, China saw consumers. While others saw raw materials, China saw future supply chains, infrastructure and industrial markets.
INDIA SAW IT TOO — AND BUILT DEEP ROOTS
India also recognized Africa’s potential long before the continent became the focus of today’s global economic competition.Indian entrepreneurs have been building businesses across Africa for generations, creating one of the continent’s deepest commercial networks. From East and Southern Africa to West and Central Africa, Indian businesses have established a formidable presence in manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, agriculture, textiles, steel, plastics, consumer goods, construction, technology and financial services.
In many African countries, Indian-origin entrepreneurs have become major industrialists and employers, particularly in manufacturing.If China arrived with infrastructure and financial scale, India built its African presence through trade, factories, entrepreneurship and long-standing commercial relationships.Today, alongside China, India stands as one of the most deeply established Asian economic forces across Africa. They are no longer alone. The Gulf states, Turkey, Europe, the United States and others are increasingly competing for position across the continent. The reason is simple: the world has begun to understand where the next great market is being built.
SRI LANKA MUST LOOK TOWARDS AFRICA
Sri Lanka cannot afford to watch this transformation from the sidelines. Our businesses have traditionally concentrated on Asia, Europe, the Middle East and North America. Those markets remain important. But the next generation of Sri Lankan entrepreneurs must also look towards Africa.Fortunately, Sri Lanka does not have to start from zero.Those who wore the right spectacles have already seen where the market is heading.Among the most significant is LOLC Group, which recognized Africa’s potential early and has built a substantial footprint extending across Northern, Eastern, Western, Southern and Central Africa.If foresight is measured by the strength of one’s spectacles, LOLC appears to have worn one of the clearest pairs — seeing Africa’s vibrant future long before many others did.
Its experience provides something more important than theory, proof that Sri Lankan companies can enter African markets, understand them, grow with them and succeed.Other Sri Lankan companies have followed different paths into the continent.MAS Holdings has invested in apparel manufacturing and exports, creating employment and strengthening Sri Lanka’s industrial footprint in Africa. Ceylon Biscuits Limited has taken Sri Lankan consumer brands into African markets, while WindForce, Vidullanka, Eco Power, V S Hydro and other renewable-energy companies have pursued opportunities across a continent with enormous energy demand and significant untapped generation potential.Sri Lankan businesses are also active in printing, tea trading, motor vehicle trading, logistics and other services, including EFL Global. More recently, Hemas Group has entered Africa, adding another major Sri Lankan conglomerate exploring the opportunities presented by the continent’s expanding consumer markets.
Together, these businesses send a powerful message.Africa is no longer an experiment for Sri Lankan companies. It is already a proven market. The question is whether enough Sri Lankan businesses will recognize the opportunity before the market becomes crowded.
AGOA OPENS ANOTHER DOOR
The recent move by the United States to extend the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) through 2028 is more than the continuation of a trade arrangement. It is a powerful vote of confidence in Africa’s growing importance in global manufacturing, investment and supply chains.AGOA has been a cornerstone of U.S.–Africa trade relations since 2000. Its continuation also reflects the sustained diplomatic engagement of African leaders who understand how critical preferential access to the U.S. market can be for investment, industrialization and employment.
For Sri Lankan apparel companies already manufacturing in eligible African countries, duty-free access to the enormous U.S. market can provide a significant competitive advantage.For those still considering Africa, the message is even clearer. MOVE NOW. Sri Lanka brings world-class apparel expertise, technology, compliance standards and established global buyer relationships. Africa offers competitive manufacturing opportunities, a young workforce and preferential access to major markets.
Manufacture from Africa. Export to the world.Those who establish their footprint today could become the regional manufacturing leaders of tomorrow. Sri Lanka cannot compete with China, India or the largest Western corporations purely on financial scale. We do not have to.Sri Lankan businesses can compete through quality, flexibility, entrepreneurship, relationships and an ability to operate successfully in emerging markets.We have capabilities Africa needs apparel, food processing, agriculture, renewable energy, logistics, financial services, tourism, healthcare, pharmaceuticals, construction, ICT and professional services.
My own experience Having lived in Africa for the past four decades plus , I have learned one fundamental lesson Africa is not one market. It is 54 countries with different political systems, regulations, cultures, consumers and opportunities. Success depends on choosing the right country, the right sector and, most importantly, the right local partners.Africa rewards patience, relationships and commitment. Those expecting overnight returns may be disappointed. Those prepared to build for the long term may discover opportunities increasingly difficult to find in mature markets.
THE REAL AFRICAN GOLD IS ITS PEOPLE
Africa’s greatest asset may ultimately not lie beneath its soil. As Africa’s cities expand and incomes rise, demand will grow for housing, food, electricity, healthcare, education, transport, banking, telecommunications, automobiles, technology, travel, entertainment and consumer goods.The African Continental Free Trade Area makes that opportunity even greater by seeking to connect fragmented national economies into a marketplace of continental scale.
A company establishing itself successfully in one African country today could eventually find itself positioned to serve markets far beyond that country’s borders. This is why the old question “What can we take from Africa?” — is becoming obsolete. The new question must be, “What can we build together in Africa?”Africa cannot simply replace one generation of foreign resource extraction with another. The next chapter must be about African factories, African supply chains, African technology companies, African banks, African logistics networks and African entrepreneurs. Africa has supplied the world’s industries for generations. Now it is building its own.For my Sri Lankan entrepreneurs, my message is simple:
Do not wait until everyone discovers Africa.Come while markets are still being built. Come while relationships are still being formed. Come while industries are still taking shape. The future market is Africa. And that future has already begun.
The writer, Kana Kananathan is a businessman , ex-diplomat and lobbyist with over four decades of experience on the African continent. A long-time resident of Africa, he served as Sri Lanka’s envoy to Kenya, with concurrent accreditation to 22 African Nations
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